What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Arsenal lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Arsenal +0.38, Hull -0.56.
- Points per game over the last five: Arsenal 2.40, Hull 0.60.
- Attack: Arsenal xG per match 1.75, 13.2 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Hull xG per match 1.31, 10.0 shots, 2.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Arsenal 1.37, Hull 1.87; shots on target faced 7.0 vs 10.2, big chances faced 1.8 vs 4.0.
- Running: Arsenal 119.0 km, Hull 113.3 km; sprints 108 vs 114.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Points per game
2.40
vs 0.60
· Edge 75.0%
Big chances faced per match
1.8
vs 4.0
· Edge 56.2%
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.60
· Edge 50.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Sprints per match
114
vs 108
· Edge 5.7%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Arsenal
|
Metric |
Hull
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.40 | Points per game | 0.60 |
| 1.40 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 1.63 | Expected points per game | 1.04 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.75 | xG per match | 1.31 |
| 13.2 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.0 |
| 8.5 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 5.2 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.0 |
| 61.8% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 33.2% |
| 10.8 | Deep completions per match | 5.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.37 | xGA per match | 1.87 |
| 11.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 14.8 |
| 7.0 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 10.2 |
| 1.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 4.0 |
| 4.4 | Deep completions allowed per match | 10.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 119.0 km | Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 4 matches with data | 113.3 km |
| 108 | Sprints per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 114 |
| 18.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 22.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Arsenal 4
- Bukayo Saka Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Christos Tzolis Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Riccardo Calafiori Injury Doubtful
- William Saliba Injury Expected back late November 2026
Hull 8
- Charlie Hughes Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Darko Gyabi Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Eliot Matazo Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Ilyas Ansah Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jack Butland Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Lucas Gourna-Douath Injury Doubtful
- Matt Targett Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Nobel Mendy Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.