Leeds vs Tottenham: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League Insight date · 2026-10-29 2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-07

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Leeds +0.14, Tottenham +0.13.
  • Points per game over the last five: Leeds 1.20, Tottenham 1.60.
  • Attack: Leeds xG per match 1.41, 12.2 shots, 2.0 big chances created; Tottenham xG per match 1.29, 14.2 shots, 1.5 big chances created. Tottenham have the better conversion (1.60 vs 1.20).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Leeds 1.27, Tottenham 1.16; shots on target faced 8.4 vs 7.0, big chances faced 2.2 vs 1.0.
  • Running: Leeds 117.4 km, Tottenham 114.4 km; sprints 123 vs 113.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 2.0 vs 1.5 · Edge 25.0%
Goals conceded per match 0.80 vs 1.00 · Edge 20.0%
xG per match 1.41 vs 1.29 · Edge 8.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances faced per match 1.0 vs 2.2 · Edge 54.5%
Points per game 1.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 25.0%
Goals per match 1.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 25.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Leeds Metric Tottenham
Results
1.20 Points per game 1.60
1.20 Goals per match 1.60
0.80 Goals conceded per match 1.00
1.49 Expected points per game 1.46
Attack
1.41 xG per match 1.29
12.2 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 14.2
7.8 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 9.8
2.0 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 1.5
50.8% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 61.5%
4.0 Deep completions per match 7.8
Defence
1.27 xGA per match 1.16
12.2 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 11.0
8.4 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 7.0
2.2 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 1.0
5.8 Deep completions allowed per match 7.6
Running & pressing
117.4 km Distance covered per match (km) 5 / 4 matches with data 114.4 km
123 Sprints per match 5 / 4 matches with data 113
25.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 28.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Leeds 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Daniel James Injury Doubtful
  • Joe Rodon Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Mateo Joseph Injury Expected back early January 2027

Tottenham 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Destiny Udogie Injury Doubtful
  • James Maddison Injury Expected return: Unknown
  • Lucas Bergvall Injury Expected back in about a week
  • Mykhaylo Mudryk Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Sávio Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Tosin Adarabioyo Injury Doubtful
  • Wilson Odobert Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Xavi Simons Injury Expected back early February 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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