Brighton vs Brentford: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League Insight date · 2026-10-30 2026-11-08 ~ 2026-11-08

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Brighton lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Brighton +1.00, Brentford -0.33.
  • Points per game over the last five: Brighton 2.40, Brentford 1.20.
  • Attack: Brighton xG per match 2.02, 17.5 shots, 3.2 big chances created; Brentford xG per match 1.42, 11.8 shots, 2.6 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Brighton 1.01, Brentford 1.75; shots on target faced 7.0 vs 9.6, big chances faced 1.0 vs 2.2.
  • Running: Brighton 114.4 km, Brentford 118.5 km; sprints 105 vs 128.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals conceded per match 0.40 vs 1.40 · Edge 71.4%
Big chances faced per match 1.0 vs 2.2 · Edge 54.5%
Points per game 2.40 vs 1.20 · Edge 50.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Sprints per match 128 vs 105 · Edge 17.9%
Distance covered per match (km) 118.5 km vs 114.4 km · Edge 3.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Brighton Metric Brentford
Results
2.40 Points per game 1.20
3.00 Goals per match 1.80
0.40 Goals conceded per match 1.40
2.11 Expected points per game 1.16
Attack
2.02 xG per match 1.42
17.5 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 11.8
10.0 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 7.4
3.2 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.6
57.2% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 46.0%
6.6 Deep completions per match 7.2
Defence
1.01 xGA per match 1.75
11.2 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 17.0
7.0 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 9.6
1.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.2
7.0 Deep completions allowed per match 11.0
Running & pressing
114.4 km Distance covered per match (km) 4 / 5 matches with data 118.5 km
105 Sprints per match 4 / 5 matches with data 128
25.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Brighton 8

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Chema Andrés Injury Back in training
  • Evan Ferguson Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Femi Azeez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Ferdi Kadioglu Injury Back in training
  • Kaoru Mitoma Injury Expected back late October 2026
  • Pascal Struijk Injury Back in training
  • Stefanos Tzimas Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Zadok Yohanna Injury Expected back early November 2026

Brentford 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Antoni Milambo Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Joshua Dasilva Injury Expected back in about a week
  • Rico Henry Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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