Sunderland vs Chelsea: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Premier League Insight date · 2026-10-30 2026-11-08 ~ 2026-11-08

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Chelsea lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Sunderland -0.92, Chelsea -0.39.
  • Points per game over the last five: Sunderland 0.20, Chelsea 1.40.
  • Attack: Sunderland xG per match 1.43, 11.8 shots, 2.6 big chances created; Chelsea xG per match 1.11, 12.0 shots, 1.6 big chances created. Chelsea have the better conversion (1.80 vs 0.60).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Sunderland 2.35, Chelsea 1.50; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 8.2, big chances faced 3.8 vs 2.8.
  • Running: Sunderland 112.3 km, Chelsea 111.9 km; sprints 107 vs 111.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances created per match 2.6 vs 1.6 · Edge 38.5%
xG per match 1.43 vs 1.11 · Edge 22.7%
Distance covered per match (km) 112.3 km vs 111.9 km · Edge 0.4%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Points per game 1.40 vs 0.20 · Edge 85.7%
Goals per match 1.80 vs 0.60 · Edge 66.7%
xGA per match 1.50 vs 2.35 · Edge 36.1%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Sunderland Metric Chelsea
Results
0.20 Points per game 1.40
0.60 Goals per match 1.80
2.20 Goals conceded per match 1.60
1.02 Expected points per game 1.07
Attack
1.43 xG per match 1.11
11.8 Shots per match 12.0
8.0 Shots on target per match 8.8
2.6 Big chances created per match 1.6
47.0% Possession 52.2%
4.6 Deep completions per match 7.8
Defence
2.35 xGA per match 1.50
16.0 Shots faced per match 11.4
9.0 Shots on target faced per match 8.2
3.8 Big chances faced per match 2.8
7.6 Deep completions allowed per match 4.8
Running & pressing
112.3 km Distance covered per match (km) 111.9 km
107 Sprints per match 111
18.2 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 21.0

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Sunderland 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Daniel Ballard Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Romaine Mundle Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Wilson Isidor Injury Doubtful

Chelsea 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Emiliano Martínez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jamie Gittens Injury Back in training
  • João Pedro Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Pep Chavarría Injury Back in training
  • Reece James Injury Expected back mid January 2027

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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