A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Chelsea lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Sunderland -0.92, Chelsea -0.39.
- Points per game over the last five: Sunderland 0.20, Chelsea 1.40.
- Attack: Sunderland xG per match 1.43, 11.8 shots, 2.6 big chances created; Chelsea xG per match 1.11, 12.0 shots, 1.6 big chances created. Chelsea have the better conversion (1.80 vs 0.60).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Sunderland 2.35, Chelsea 1.50; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 8.2, big chances faced 3.8 vs 2.8.
- Running: Sunderland 112.3 km, Chelsea 111.9 km; sprints 107 vs 111.
Each team's clearest edge
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
|
|
Metric |
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.20 | Points per game | 1.40 |
| 0.60 | Goals per match | 1.80 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per match | 1.60 |
| 1.02 | Expected points per game | 1.07 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.43 | xG per match | 1.11 |
| 11.8 | Shots per match | 12.0 |
| 8.0 | Shots on target per match | 8.8 |
| 2.6 | Big chances created per match | 1.6 |
| 47.0% | Possession | 52.2% |
| 4.6 | Deep completions per match | 7.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.35 | xGA per match | 1.50 |
| 16.0 | Shots faced per match | 11.4 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match | 8.2 |
| 3.8 | Big chances faced per match | 2.8 |
| 7.6 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| 112.3 km | Distance covered per match (km) | 111.9 km |
| 107 | Sprints per match | 111 |
| 18.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Sunderland 3
- Daniel Ballard Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Romaine Mundle Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Wilson Isidor Injury Doubtful
Chelsea 5
- Emiliano Martínez Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Jamie Gittens Injury Back in training
- João Pedro Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Pep Chavarría Injury Back in training
- Reece James Injury Expected back mid January 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.