What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Barcelona lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Barcelona +2.66, Aston Villa -0.33.
- Points per game over the last five: Barcelona 3.00, Aston Villa 2.00.
- Attack: Barcelona xG per match 3.92, 20.8 shots, 6.5 big chances created; Aston Villa xG per match 1.47, 12.5 shots, 2.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Barcelona 1.26, Aston Villa 1.80; shots on target faced 5.5 vs 9.2, big chances faced 2.8 vs 3.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
xG per match
3.92
vs 1.47
· Edge 62.5%
Big chances created per match
6.5
vs 2.5
· Edge 61.5%
Goals per match
4.40
vs 1.80
· Edge 59.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Barcelona
|
Metric |
Aston Villa
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 3.00 | Points per game | 2.00 |
| 4.40 | Goals per match | 1.80 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 1.40 |
| 2.51 | Expected points per game | 1.21 |
| Attack | ||
| 3.92 | xG per match | 1.47 |
| 20.8 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 12.5 |
| 13.2 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.0 |
| 6.5 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 74.0% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 48.0% |
| 11.2 | Deep completions per match | 7.8 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.26 | xGA per match | 1.80 |
| 7.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 16.8 |
| 5.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.2 |
| 2.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 3.2 |
| 3.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 9.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 4 matches with data | 112.2 km |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 4 matches with data | 110 |
| 24.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 19.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Barcelona 6
- Andreas Christensen Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Dani Olmo Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Eric García Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Jules Koundé Injury Doubtful
- Roony Bardghji Injury Expected back late February 2027
- Xavi Espart Injury Expected back mid December 2026
Aston Villa 4
- Aaron Wan-Bissaka Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Amadou Onana Injury Expected back mid April 2027
- Matteo Ruggeri Injury Expected back mid December 2026
- Modou Kéba Cissé Injury Back in training
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.