What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Villarreal have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Paris Saint Germain have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Villarreal +1.75, Paris Saint Germain +1.57.
- Points per game over the last five: Villarreal 2.00, Paris Saint Germain 2.40, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Villarreal xG per match 2.57, 18.2 shots, 4.0 big chances created; Paris Saint Germain xG per match 3.02, 21.8 shots, 5.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Villarreal 0.82, Paris Saint Germain 1.45; shots on target faced 3.6 vs 6.6, big chances faced 1.2 vs 3.0.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 3.0
· Edge 60.0%
Shots on target faced per match
3.6
vs 6.6
· Edge 45.5%
xGA per match
0.82
vs 1.45
· Edge 43.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots on target per match
14.8
vs 10.8
· Edge 27.0%
Big chances created per match
5.2
vs 4.0
· Edge 23.1%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 1.60
· Edge 20.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Villarreal
|
Metric |
Paris Saint Germain
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.00 | Points per game | 2.40 |
| 1.60 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.00 |
| 2.16 | Expected points per game | 2.28 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.57 | xG per match | 3.02 |
| 18.2 | Shots per match | 21.8 |
| 10.8 | Shots on target per match | 14.8 |
| 4.0 | Big chances created per match | 5.2 |
| 59.8% | Possession | 66.8% |
| 11.4 | Deep completions per match | 13.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.82 | xGA per match | 1.45 |
| 7.6 | Shots faced per match | 12.0 |
| 3.6 | Shots on target faced per match | 6.6 |
| 1.2 | Big chances faced per match | 3.0 |
| 6.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 21.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.8 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Villarreal 3
- Carlos Romero Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Nathan Saliba Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Nicolas Pépé Injury Expected return: Unknown
Paris Saint Germain 4
- Khvicha Kvaratskhelia Injury Out for the season
- Marquinhos Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Nuno Mendes Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Ousmane Dembélé Injury Expected return: A few weeks
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.