Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence UEFA Champions League Insight date · 2026-10-27 2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-04

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Borussia Dortmund lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Borussia Dortmund +1.39, Real Betis +0.26.
  • Points per game over the last five: Borussia Dortmund 2.20, Real Betis 1.60.
  • Attack: Borussia Dortmund xG per match 2.12, 15.8 shots, 3.8 big chances created; Real Betis xG per match 1.74, 14.8 shots, 2.4 big chances created. Real Betis have the better conversion (1.80 vs 1.40).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Borussia Dortmund 0.72, Real Betis 1.48; shots on target faced 4.2 vs 9.8, big chances faced 1.2 vs 2.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals conceded per match 0.40 vs 1.60 · Edge 75.0%
Shots on target faced per match 4.2 vs 9.8 · Edge 56.6%
xGA per match 0.72 vs 1.48 · Edge 51.2%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals per match 1.80 vs 1.40 · Edge 22.2%
Shots on target per match 9.0 vs 8.8 · Edge 2.8%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Borussia Dortmund Metric Real Betis
Results
2.20 Points per game 1.60
1.40 Goals per match 1.80
0.40 Goals conceded per match 1.60
2.26 Expected points per game 1.56
Attack
2.12 xG per match 1.74
15.8 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 14.8
8.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 9.0
3.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.4
62.0% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 54.2%
12.0 Deep completions per match 7.0
Defence
0.72 xGA per match 1.48
10.0 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 14.8
4.2 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 9.8
1.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.2
2.2 Deep completions allowed per match 6.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
26.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 20.0

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Borussia Dortmund 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-27

  • Emre Can Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Giannis Konstantelias Injury Expected back late May 2027
  • Justin Lerma Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Kauã Prates Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Konstantinos Karetsas Injury Expected back early November 2026

Real Betis 2

Snapshot · 2026-10-27

  • Juan Hernández Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Junior Firpo Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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