Lens vs Como: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence UEFA Champions League Insight date · 2026-10-27 2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-04

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Como have the stronger underlying attack/defence.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lens +0.08, Como +0.87.
  • Attack: Lens xG per match 1.46, 13.2 shots, 2.2 big chances created; Como xG per match 2.47, 21.0 shots, 4.2 big chances created. Lens have the better conversion (2.00 vs 1.40).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lens 1.38, Como 1.60; shots on target faced 6.5 vs 6.2, big chances faced 2.2 vs 2.6.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals per match 2.00 vs 1.40 · Edge 30.0%
Shots faced per match 10.5 vs 13.8 · Edge 23.9%
xGA per match 1.38 vs 1.60 · Edge 13.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Big chances created per match 4.2 vs 2.2 · Edge 46.4%
Shots on target per match 13.0 vs 7.0 · Edge 46.2%
Goals conceded per match 0.80 vs 1.40 · Edge 42.9%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Lens Metric Como
Results
2.00 Points per game 2.00
2.00 Goals per match 1.40
1.40 Goals conceded per match 0.80
1.41 Expected points per game 1.92
Attack
1.46 xG per match 2.47
13.2 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 21.0
7.0 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.0
2.2 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 4.2
52.8% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 60.8%
4.6 Deep completions per match 10.2
Defence
1.38 xGA per match 1.60
10.5 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.8
6.5 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 6.2
2.2 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.6
4.8 Deep completions allowed per match 5.2
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
22.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Lens 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-27

  • Abdallah Sima Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Ismaëlo Ganiou Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Jhoanner Chávez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Jonathan Gradit Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Maik Nawrocki Injury Expected back mid May 2027

Como 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-27

  • Assane Diao Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Jesús Rodríguez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Mattia Liberali Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Moise Kean Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Trevoh Chalobah Injury Expected back early November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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