What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Manchester City lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): RB Leipzig +0.24, Manchester City +0.97.
- Points per game over the last five: RB Leipzig 1.80, Manchester City 2.40.
- Attack: RB Leipzig xG per match 2.37, 15.2 shots, 3.4 big chances created; Manchester City xG per match 2.34, 14.2 shots, 3.6 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match RB Leipzig 2.14, Manchester City 1.37; shots on target faced 10.6 vs 7.4, big chances faced 3.8 vs 2.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
3.20
vs 2.60
· Edge 18.8%
Shots per match
15.2
vs 14.2
· Edge 6.6%
Shots on target per match
9.4
vs 9.2
· Edge 2.1%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
xGA per match
1.37
vs 2.14
· Edge 36.1%
Shots on target faced per match
7.4
vs 10.6
· Edge 30.2%
Big chances faced per match
2.8
vs 3.8
· Edge 26.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
RB Leipzig
|
Metric |
Manchester City
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.80 | Points per game | 2.40 |
| 3.20 | Goals per match | 2.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 1.40 |
| 1.73 | Expected points per game | 2.02 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.37 | xG per match | 2.34 |
| 15.2 | Shots per match | 14.2 |
| 9.4 | Shots on target per match | 9.2 |
| 3.4 | Big chances created per match | 3.6 |
| 50.6% | Possession | 59.8% |
| 8.4 | Deep completions per match | 9.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.14 | xGA per match | 1.37 |
| 16.0 | Shots faced per match | 12.4 |
| 10.6 | Shots on target faced per match | 7.4 |
| 3.8 | Big chances faced per match | 2.8 |
| 9.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 5 matches with data | 111.2 km |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 5 matches with data | 92 |
| 23.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 20.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
RB Leipzig 3
- Assan Ouédraogo Injury Expected back late December 2026
- Christopher Nkunku Injury Expected back in about a week
- Marc Guiu Injury Expected return: A few weeks
Manchester City 2
- Antoine Semenyo Injury Expected back mid December 2026
- Matheus Nunes Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.