What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Real Madrid lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Valencia +0.09, Real Madrid +0.81.
- Points per game over the last five: Valencia 1.00, Real Madrid 2.40.
- Attack: Valencia xG per match 1.51, 13.4 shots, 2.4 big chances created; Real Madrid xG per match 2.11, 15.6 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Valencia 1.41, Real Madrid 1.30; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 9.4, big chances faced 1.4 vs 1.6.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.4
vs 1.6
· Edge 12.5%
Shots on target faced per match
9.0
vs 9.4
· Edge 4.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
2.40
vs 1.00
· Edge 58.3%
Goals per match
2.60
vs 1.20
· Edge 53.8%
xG per match
2.11
vs 1.51
· Edge 28.6%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Valencia
|
Metric |
Real Madrid
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.00 | Points per game | 2.40 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 2.60 |
| 1.40 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.43 | Expected points per game | 1.92 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.51 | xG per match | 2.11 |
| 13.4 | Shots per match | 15.6 |
| 7.0 | Shots on target per match | 9.2 |
| 2.4 | Big chances created per match | 3.0 |
| 46.4% | Possession | 50.0% |
| 6.4 | Deep completions per match | 12.4 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.41 | xGA per match | 1.30 |
| 17.0 | Shots faced per match | 14.8 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match | 9.4 |
| 1.4 | Big chances faced per match | 1.6 |
| 7.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.0 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 17.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 19.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Valencia 6
- David Otorbi Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Diego López Injury Expected back mid February 2027
- Dimitri Foulquier Injury Back in training
- José Copete Injury Back in training
- Sergi Canós Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Umar Sadiq Injury Back in training
Real Madrid 4
- Ferland Mendy Injury Back in training
- Raúl Asencio Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Rodrygo Injury Expected back late December 2026
- Thibaut Courtois Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.