What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Real Sociedad lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Real Sociedad +0.28, Rayo Vallecano -0.12.
- Points per game over the last five: Real Sociedad 2.40, Rayo Vallecano 1.00.
- Attack: Real Sociedad xG per match 1.95, 16.0 shots, 2.8 big chances created; Rayo Vallecano xG per match 1.58, 18.2 shots, 1.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Real Sociedad 1.68, Rayo Vallecano 1.70; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 12.2, big chances faced 2.6 vs 2.5.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
2.60
vs 1.00
· Edge 61.5%
Points per game
2.40
vs 1.00
· Edge 58.3%
Big chances created per match
2.8
vs 1.8
· Edge 37.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Shots per match
18.2
vs 16.0
· Edge 12.3%
Big chances faced per match
2.5
vs 2.6
· Edge 3.8%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Real Sociedad
|
Metric |
Rayo Vallecano
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 2.40 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 2.60 | Goals per match | 1.00 |
| 2.00 | Goals conceded per match | 2.00 |
| 1.50 | Expected points per game | 1.37 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.95 | xG per match | 1.58 |
| 16.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 18.2 |
| 10.0 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 9.8 |
| 2.8 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 51.4% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 56.2% |
| 8.0 | Deep completions per match | 6.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.68 | xGA per match | 1.70 |
| 15.8 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 17.8 |
| 9.0 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 12.2 |
| 2.6 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 6.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 8.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 27.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 22.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Real Sociedad 2
- Álvaro Odriozola Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Luken Beitia Injury Expected back early November 2026
Rayo Vallecano 3
- Andrei Ratiu Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Augusto Batalla Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Luiz Felipe Injury Out for the season
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.