Hamburger SV vs Borussia M.Gladbach: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-28 2026-11-06 ~ 2026-11-06

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

The two sides are close at the underlying level; the differences sit in specific phases.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hamburger SV -0.67, Borussia M.Gladbach -0.71.
  • Points per game over the last five: Hamburger SV 1.80, Borussia M.Gladbach 0.60.
  • Attack: Hamburger SV xG per match 1.24, 12.0 shots, 1.8 big chances created; Borussia M.Gladbach xG per match 1.56, 11.5 shots, 1.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hamburger SV 1.91, Borussia M.Gladbach 2.26; shots on target faced 11.0 vs 10.2, big chances faced 3.5 vs 3.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Points per game 1.80 vs 0.60 · Edge 66.7%
Goals conceded per match 1.80 vs 3.00 · Edge 40.0%
xGA per match 1.91 vs 2.26 · Edge 15.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals per match 1.60 vs 1.20 · Edge 25.0%
Shots on target per match 7.5 vs 5.8 · Edge 23.3%
xG per match 1.56 vs 1.24 · Edge 20.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Hamburger SV Metric Borussia M.Gladbach
Results
1.80 Points per game 0.60
1.20 Goals per match 1.60
1.80 Goals conceded per match 3.00
0.96 Expected points per game 0.91
Attack
1.24 xG per match 1.56
12.0 Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data 11.5
5.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data 7.5
1.8 Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data 1.8
36.0% Possession 4 / 4 matches with data 42.2%
4.4 Deep completions per match 5.2
Defence
1.91 xGA per match 2.26
19.0 Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 16.8
11.0 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 10.2
3.5 Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data 3.2
10.2 Deep completions allowed per match 7.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
18.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 20.6

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Hamburger SV 5

Snapshot · 2026-10-28

  • Bilal Nadir Injury Expected back late December 2026
  • Fábio Vieira Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Nicolai Remberg Injury Expected back late June 2027
  • Nicolás Capaldo Injury Expected back in about a week
  • Yussuf Poulsen Injury Expected return: A few weeks

Borussia M.Gladbach 7

Snapshot · 2026-10-28

  • Enzo Leopold Injury Expected back late May 2027
  • Franck Honorat Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Fritz Fleck Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Isac Lidberg Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Jan Leszczynski Injury Expected back early December 2026
  • Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn Injury Back in training
  • Tim Kleindienst Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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