What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Freiburg lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Freiburg +0.21, Union Berlin -1.05.
- Points per game over the last five: Freiburg 1.40, Union Berlin 1.00.
- Attack: Freiburg xG per match 1.75, 14.0 shots, 3.5 big chances created; Union Berlin xG per match 1.08, 14.0 shots, 1.5 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Freiburg 1.53, Union Berlin 2.13; shots on target faced 6.5 vs 7.8, big chances faced 2.5 vs 2.5.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
2.20
vs 0.60
· Edge 72.7%
Big chances created per match
3.5
vs 1.5
· Edge 57.1%
xG per match
1.75
vs 1.08
· Edge 38.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Freiburg
|
Metric |
Union Berlin
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.00 |
| 2.20 | Goals per match | 0.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals conceded per match | 2.20 |
| 1.64 | Expected points per game | 0.94 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.75 | xG per match | 1.08 |
| 14.0 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 14.0 |
| 8.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 8.8 |
| 3.5 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 1.5 |
| 51.8% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 45.2% |
| 6.0 | Deep completions per match | 4.0 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.53 | xGA per match | 2.13 |
| 10.0 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 15.8 |
| 6.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 7.8 |
| 2.5 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 6.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 13.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 19.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 18.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Freiburg 1
- Florent Muslija Injury Expected back late December 2026
Union Berlin 4
- Andrej Ilić Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Andrik Markgraf Injury Expected back early March 2027
- Josip Juranović Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Stanley N'Soki Injury Expected back late October 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.