Hoffenheim vs Schalke 04: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Bundesliga Insight date · 2026-10-30 2026-11-08 ~ 2026-11-08

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Hoffenheim lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Hoffenheim +0.85, Schalke 04 -0.27.
  • Points per game over the last five: Hoffenheim 1.80, Schalke 04 1.00.
  • Attack: Hoffenheim xG per match 2.19, 18.8 shots, 3.6 big chances created; Schalke 04 xG per match 1.15, 11.0 shots, 1.8 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Hoffenheim 1.34, Schalke 04 1.41; shots on target faced 7.4 vs 9.2, big chances faced 2.6 vs 3.4.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals per match 2.00 vs 0.80 · Edge 60.0%
Big chances created per match 3.6 vs 1.8 · Edge 50.0%
xG per match 2.19 vs 1.15 · Edge 47.6%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Goals conceded per match 0.80 vs 1.60 · Edge 50.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Hoffenheim Metric Schalke 04
Results
1.80 Points per game 1.00
2.00 Goals per match 0.80
1.60 Goals conceded per match 0.80
1.87 Expected points per game 1.09
Attack
2.19 xG per match 1.15
18.8 Shots per match 11.0
12.2 Shots on target per match 7.0
3.6 Big chances created per match 1.8
53.4% Possession 41.8%
13.8 Deep completions per match 6.4
Defence
1.34 xGA per match 1.41
12.6 Shots faced per match 13.0
7.4 Shots on target faced per match 9.2
2.6 Big chances faced per match 3.4
5.0 Deep completions allowed per match 7.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
25.8 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 25.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Hoffenheim 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Albian Hajdari Injury Expected return: A few weeks
  • Nathan De Cat Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Patrick Wimmer Injury Expected back mid November 2026
  • Tim Lemperle Injury Doubtful
  • Valentin Gendrey Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Vladimír Coufal Injury Doubtful

Schalke 04 6

Snapshot · 2026-10-30

  • Ayman Gülasi Injury Expected back late December 2026
  • Maximilian Wöber Injury Expected back early January 2027
  • Moussa Sylla Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Robin Gosens Injury Doubtful
  • Ron Schallenberg Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
  • Soufian El-Faouzi Injury Doubtful

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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