Nice vs Rennes: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Ligue 1 Insight date · 2026-10-28 2026-10-30 ~ 2026-10-30

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Rennes have the stronger underlying attack/defence.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Nice -0.39, Rennes +0.03.
  • Attack: Nice xG per match 1.19, 10.8 shots, 2.0 big chances created; Rennes xG per match 2.05, 17.0 shots, 3.2 big chances created.
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Nice 1.58, Rennes 2.02; shots on target faced 9.0 vs 9.5, big chances faced 2.6 vs 2.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Goals conceded per match 1.20 vs 1.80 · Edge 33.3%
xGA per match 1.58 vs 2.02 · Edge 21.8%
Shots faced per match 13.2 vs 14.0 · Edge 5.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Shots on target per match 12.5 vs 5.8 · Edge 53.6%
xG per match 2.05 vs 1.19 · Edge 41.7%
Big chances created per match 3.2 vs 2.0 · Edge 38.5%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Nice Metric Rennes
Results
1.80 Points per game 1.80
1.40 Goals per match 2.20
1.20 Goals conceded per match 1.80
1.10 Expected points per game 1.52
Attack
1.19 xG per match 2.05
10.8 Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data 17.0
5.8 Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data 12.5
2.0 Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data 3.2
51.8% Possession 5 / 4 matches with data 50.5%
6.4 Deep completions per match 9.4
Defence
1.58 xGA per match 2.02
13.2 Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 14.0
9.0 Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 9.5
2.6 Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data 2.2
6.8 Deep completions allowed per match 10.0
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
21.4 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 24.8

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Nice

No published absences in the latest snapshot.

Rennes 1

Snapshot · 2026-10-26

  • Estéban Lepaul Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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