What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Brest have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Lorient have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Lorient +0.20, Brest +0.49.
- Points per game over the last five: Lorient 1.60, Brest 0.80, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Lorient xG per match 1.01, 9.2 shots, 1.2 big chances created; Brest xG per match 1.70, 13.0 shots, 3.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Lorient 0.80, Brest 1.21; shots on target faced 8.2 vs 7.4, big chances faced 0.8 vs 1.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
0.8
vs 1.8
· Edge 58.3%
Points per game
1.60
vs 0.80
· Edge 50.0%
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.40
· Edge 42.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.2
vs 1.2
· Edge 60.9%
xG per match
1.70
vs 1.01
· Edge 40.6%
Goals per match
1.60
vs 1.00
· Edge 37.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Lorient
|
Metric |
Brest
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.60 | Points per game | 0.80 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 1.60 |
| 0.80 | Goals conceded per match | 1.40 |
| 1.54 | Expected points per game | 1.57 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.01 | xG per match | 1.70 |
| 9.2 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 13.0 |
| 4.8 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 7.4 |
| 1.2 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 3.2 |
| 43.8% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 45.2% |
| 3.6 | Deep completions per match | 5.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.80 | xGA per match | 1.21 |
| 13.2 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.2 |
| 8.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 7.4 |
| 0.8 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 1.8 |
| 6.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.4 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 12.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 20.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Lorient 4
- Bandiougou Fadiga Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mohamed Bamba Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Noah Mbamba Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Panos Katseris Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Brest 3
- Brendan Chardonnet Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Giovani Versini Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Raphaël Le Guen Injury Expected back late January 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.