What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lorient lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Le Havre -0.01, Lorient +0.20.
- Points per game over the last five: Le Havre 0.20, Lorient 1.60.
- Attack: Le Havre xG per match 1.67, 17.2 shots, 2.5 big chances created; Lorient xG per match 1.01, 9.2 shots, 1.2 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Le Havre 1.68, Lorient 0.80; shots on target faced 5.2 vs 8.2, big chances faced 2.0 vs 0.8.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Shots on target per match
10.0
vs 4.8
· Edge 52.5%
Big chances created per match
2.5
vs 1.2
· Edge 50.0%
Shots per match
17.2
vs 9.2
· Edge 46.4%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
1.60
vs 0.20
· Edge 87.5%
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 2.20
· Edge 63.6%
Big chances faced per match
0.8
vs 2.0
· Edge 62.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Le Havre
|
Metric |
Lorient
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 0.20 | Points per game | 1.60 |
| 1.20 | Goals per match | 1.00 |
| 2.20 | Goals conceded per match | 0.80 |
| 1.36 | Expected points per game | 1.54 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.67 | xG per match | 1.01 |
| 17.2 | Shots per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 9.2 |
| 10.0 | Shots on target per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 4.8 |
| 2.5 | Big chances created per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 1.2 |
| 49.5% | Possession 4 / 4 matches with data | 43.8% |
| 6.0 | Deep completions per match | 3.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.68 | xGA per match | 0.80 |
| 9.5 | Shots faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 13.2 |
| 5.2 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 8.2 |
| 2.0 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 4 matches with data | 0.8 |
| 4.8 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.2 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 23.6 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 12.6 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Le Havre 5
- Elias Jelert Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Felix Mambimbi Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Lionel Mpasi-Nzau Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Stephan Zagadou Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Timothée Pembélé Injury Expected back late October 2026
Lorient 4
- Bandiougou Fadiga Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Mohamed Bamba Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
- Noah Mbamba Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Panos Katseris Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.