What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Lille have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Rennes have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Rennes +0.03, Lille +0.43.
- Points per game over the last five: Rennes 1.80, Lille 1.60, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Rennes xG per match 2.05, 17.0 shots, 3.2 big chances created; Lille xG per match 1.59, 12.2 shots, 2.8 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Rennes 2.02, Lille 1.16; shots on target faced 9.5 vs 5.6, big chances faced 2.2 vs 1.2.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Goals per match
2.20
vs 1.20
· Edge 45.5%
Shots on target per match
12.5
vs 7.4
· Edge 40.8%
Shots per match
17.0
vs 12.2
· Edge 28.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.80
· Edge 55.6%
Big chances faced per match
1.2
vs 2.2
· Edge 46.7%
xGA per match
1.16
vs 2.02
· Edge 42.5%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Rennes
|
Metric |
Lille
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.80 | Points per game | 1.60 |
| 2.20 | Goals per match | 1.20 |
| 1.80 | Goals conceded per match | 0.80 |
| 1.52 | Expected points per game | 1.71 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.05 | xG per match | 1.59 |
| 17.0 | Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.2 |
| 12.5 | Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 7.4 |
| 3.2 | Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 2.8 |
| 50.5% | Possession 4 / 5 matches with data | 54.4% |
| 9.4 | Deep completions per match | 8.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 2.02 | xGA per match | 1.16 |
| 14.0 | Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 12.8 |
| 9.5 | Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 5.6 |
| 2.2 | Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data | 1.2 |
| 10.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 6.6 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 24.8 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 23.0 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Rennes 2
- Brice Samba Injury Doubtful
- Estéban Lepaul Injury Expected back in about 1-2 weeks
Lille 4
- Ayase Ueda Injury Expected return: A few weeks
- Hamza Igamane Injury Expected back late October 2026
- Osame Sahraoui Injury Doubtful
- Tiago Santos Injury Expected back late June 2027
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.