Torino vs Lecce: what the data says

Match data Moderate evidence Serie A Insight date · 2026-10-29 2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-07

What is worth noting before kickoff?

What this page answers

A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.

The takeaway

Torino lead in both underlying performance and recent points.

  • Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Torino +0.30, Lecce -0.09.
  • Points per game over the last five: Torino 2.00, Lecce 1.20.
  • Attack: Torino xG per match 1.36, 11.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created; Lecce xG per match 1.70, 13.0 shots, 2.6 big chances created. Torino have the better conversion (1.80 vs 1.40).
  • Defence: expected goals conceded per match Torino 1.06, Lecce 1.79; shots on target faced 7.8 vs 7.4, big chances faced 1.0 vs 3.2.

Each team's clearest edge

Home edge
Big chances faced per match 1.0 vs 3.2 · Edge 68.8%
xGA per match 1.06 vs 1.79 · Edge 40.6%
Points per game 2.00 vs 1.20 · Edge 40.0%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Away edge
Shots faced per match 12.2 vs 15.2 · Edge 20.0%
xG per match 1.70 vs 1.36 · Edge 19.8%
Shots on target per match 8.2 vs 6.8 · Edge 17.7%

Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.

Head-to-head data

Torino Metric Lecce
Results
2.00 Points per game 1.20
1.80 Goals per match 1.40
1.20 Goals conceded per match 1.80
1.63 Expected points per game 1.14
Attack
1.36 xG per match 1.70
11.8 Shots per match 4 / 5 matches with data 13.0
6.8 Shots on target per match 4 / 5 matches with data 8.2
3.0 Big chances created per match 4 / 5 matches with data 2.6
47.5% Possession 4 / 5 matches with data 40.4%
4.4 Deep completions per match 4.8
Defence
1.06 xGA per match 1.79
15.2 Shots faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 12.2
7.8 Shots on target faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 7.4
1.0 Big chances faced per match 4 / 5 matches with data 3.2
6.4 Deep completions allowed per match 5.6
Running & pressing
— Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data —
— Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data —
17.6 Pressing value (lower is stronger) 28.2

Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.

Injuries & absences

Torino 3

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Niccolò Fortini Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Ricardo Rodríguez Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Rolando Mandragora Injury Expected back early November 2026

Lecce 4

Snapshot · 2026-10-29

  • Ivan Ilic Injury Expected back late November 2026
  • Lassana Coulibaly Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Medon Berisha Injury Expected back early November 2026
  • Santiago Pierotti Injury Expected back mid November 2026

Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.

Limitations

Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).

  • Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.

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