What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
AC Milan lead in both underlying performance and recent points.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Genoa -0.23, AC Milan +0.34.
- Points per game over the last five: Genoa 1.40, AC Milan 1.80.
- Attack: Genoa xG per match 1.06, 11.2 shots, 1.4 big chances created; AC Milan xG per match 1.84, 10.2 shots, 3.0 big chances created.
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Genoa 1.29, AC Milan 1.51; shots on target faced 10.2 vs 6.2, big chances faced 1.8 vs 2.4.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
1.8
vs 2.4
· Edge 25.0%
xGA per match
1.29
vs 1.51
· Edge 14.1%
Shots per match
11.2
vs 10.2
· Edge 8.9%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Big chances created per match
3.0
vs 1.4
· Edge 53.3%
Goals per match
2.00
vs 1.00
· Edge 50.0%
xG per match
1.84
vs 1.06
· Edge 42.3%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Genoa
|
Metric |
AC Milan
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.40 | Points per game | 1.80 |
| 1.00 | Goals per match | 2.00 |
| 1.20 | Goals conceded per match | 1.20 |
| 1.18 | Expected points per game | 1.59 |
| Attack | ||
| 1.06 | xG per match | 1.84 |
| 11.2 | Shots per match | 10.2 |
| 7.2 | Shots on target per match | 7.8 |
| 1.4 | Big chances created per match | 3.0 |
| 43.6% | Possession | 60.2% |
| 2.4 | Deep completions per match | 5.6 |
| Defence | ||
| 1.29 | xGA per match | 1.51 |
| 15.6 | Shots faced per match | 10.0 |
| 10.2 | Shots on target faced per match | 6.2 |
| 1.8 | Big chances faced per match | 2.4 |
| 8.0 | Deep completions allowed per match | 4.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 24.4 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 17.2 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Genoa 2
- Elias Havel Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Lorenzo Venturino Injury Back in training
AC Milan 6
- Alexis Saelemaekers Injury Expected back mid January 2027
- Fikayo Tomori Injury Doubtful
- Matteo Gabbia Injury Expected back early January 2027
- Pietro Terracciano Injury Doubtful
- Ruben Loftus-Cheek Injury Expected back late November 2026
- Samuel Chukwueze Injury Expected back mid November 2026
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.