What this page answers
A side-by-side look at both teams' last five matches: attack, defence, running and availability. It explains where each side has an edge before kickoff; it is not a win/draw/loss prediction.
The takeaway
Napoli have the stronger underlying attack/defence, but Lazio have taken more points recently.
- Underlying goal difference (expected goals for minus against): Napoli +1.76, Lazio +0.40.
- Points per game over the last five: Napoli 1.60, Lazio 2.60, opposite to the underlying signal.
- Attack: Napoli xG per match 2.69, 18.0 shots, 3.4 big chances created; Lazio xG per match 1.77, 13.8 shots, 3.0 big chances created. Lazio have the better conversion (2.40 vs 1.60).
- Defence: expected goals conceded per match Napoli 0.93, Lazio 1.37; shots on target faced 6.4 vs 7.8, big chances faced 0.6 vs 2.5.
Each team's clearest edge
Home edge
Big chances faced per match
0.6
vs 2.5
· Edge 76.0%
Shots on target per match
11.2
vs 7.2
· Edge 35.3%
xG per match
2.69
vs 1.77
· Edge 34.2%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Away edge
Points per game
2.60
vs 1.60
· Edge 38.5%
Goals per match
2.40
vs 1.60
· Edge 33.3%
Goals conceded per match
0.80
vs 1.00
· Edge 20.0%
Largest relative gaps among the displayed metrics.
Head-to-head data
Napoli
|
Metric |
Lazio
|
|---|---|---|
| Results | ||
| 1.60 | Points per game | 2.60 |
| 1.60 | Goals per match | 2.40 |
| 1.00 | Goals conceded per match | 0.80 |
| 2.50 | Expected points per game | 1.67 |
| Attack | ||
| 2.69 | xG per match | 1.77 |
| 18.0 | Shots per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 13.8 |
| 11.2 | Shots on target per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 7.2 |
| 3.4 | Big chances created per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 3.0 |
| 55.4% | Possession 5 / 4 matches with data | 52.2% |
| 8.4 | Deep completions per match | 8.2 |
| Defence | ||
| 0.93 | xGA per match | 1.37 |
| 14.4 | Shots faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 12.5 |
| 6.4 | Shots on target faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 7.8 |
| 0.6 | Big chances faced per match 5 / 4 matches with data | 2.5 |
| 6.2 | Deep completions allowed per match | 5.8 |
| Running & pressing | ||
| — | Distance covered per match (km) 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| — | Sprints per match 0 / 0 matches with data | — |
| 18.2 | Pressing value (lower is stronger) | 21.4 |
Highlighted values are the stronger side. For goals conceded, shots faced and the pressing value, lower is better.
Injuries & absences
Napoli 7
- Alessandro Buongiorno Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Alisson Santos Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Benoît Badiashile Injury Expected back early December 2026
- Costantino Favasuli Injury Expected back early November 2026
- David Neres Injury Expected back early November 2026
- Leonardo Spinazzola Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Stanislav Lobotka Injury Expected back late December 2026
Lazio 3
- Adam Marušić Injury Doubtful
- Albert Gudmundsson Injury Expected back mid November 2026
- Nicolò Rovella Injury Doubtful
Latest pre-match snapshot; coverage varies by league.
Limitations
Based on 10 recent matches (10 with expected-goals data).
- Injury snapshots start from 2026-09-17; earlier absences are not reflected.