Bundesliga Round 7 2026-10-24 · 16:30 UTC finished
Prediction
72% Borussia Dortmund (home) Model favorite
16% Draw
12% Eintracht Frankfurt (away)
Expected goals 2.31 — 1.02 Over 2.5 goals: 65% Both teams to score: 58%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Borussia Dortmund Eintracht Frankfurt
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.211.8
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.131.98
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 48
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 10.0 12.8
Matches in the last 7 days 32
Matches in the next 7 days 32
Travel to this match (km) 0179

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Borussia Dortmund vs Eintracht Frankfurt: what the data says

Home last five: 2.20 points, 2.18 xG for, 0.99 against per game. Away: 1.40 / 2.00 / 2.48.

Borussia DortmundEintracht Frankfurt
0.80 Goals conceded per match 2.60
0.99 xGA per match 2.48
6.2 Shots on target faced per match 11.5

What is worth noting before kickoff?

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Borussia Dortmund

  • injured Emre Can return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Giannis Konstantelias return: Late May 2027
  • injured Justin Lerma return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Kauã Prates return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Konstantinos Karetsas return: Early November 2026

Eintracht Frankfurt

  • injured Jessic Ngankam return: Late October 2026
  • injured Malik Pimpong return: Late October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Borussia Dortmund 20 · 8 8 draws · 6 Eintracht Frankfurt

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-05-08Borussia Dortmund 3 - 2Eintracht Frankfurt
2026-01-09Eintracht Frankfurt 3 - 3Borussia Dortmund
2025-10-28Eintracht Frankfurt 1 - 1Borussia Dortmund
2025-01-17Eintracht Frankfurt 2 - 0Borussia Dortmund
2024-08-24Borussia Dortmund 2 - 0Eintracht Frankfurt
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available