Serie A Round 8 2026-10-24 · 13:00 UTC finished
Como (home)
VS Stadio Giuseppe Sinigaglia, Como
Sassuolo (away)
Prediction
74% Como (home) Model favorite
15% Draw
11% Sassuolo (away)
Expected goals 1.98 — 0.88 Over 2.5 goals: 54% Both teams to score: 50%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Como Sassuolo
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 2.011.52
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.511.5
Sample size (matches with xG data) 55
Rest days since last match 38
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 10.1 18.1
Matches in the last 7 days 42
Matches in the next 7 days 32
Travel to this match (km) 0577

What the data says

Match data Moderate evidence

Como vs Sassuolo: what the data says

Home last five: 2.00 points, 2.41 xG for, 1.73 against per game. Away: 1.00 / 1.65 / 2.12.

ComoSassuolo
1.00 Goals conceded per match 2.20
2.00 Points per game 1.00
4.0 Big chances created per match 2.0

What is worth noting before kickoff?

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Como

  • injured Assane Diao return: Mid November 2026
  • injured Jesús Rodríguez return: Early November 2026
  • injured Mattia Liberali return: doubtful
  • injured Moise Kean return: Early November 2026
  • injured Trevoh Chalobah return: Early November 2026

Sassuolo

  • injured Daniel Boloca return: Back in training
  • injured Fedde Leysen return: Out for season
  • injured Ismaël Koné return: Early November 2026
  • injured Jay Idzes return: Early November 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Como 2 · 0 0 draws · 1 Sassuolo

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-04-17Sassuolo 2 - 1Como
2025-11-28Como 2 - 0Sassuolo
2025-09-24Como 3 - 0Sassuolo
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: available Season context: available