Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Lens | Paris FC |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.54 | 2.11 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.78 | 1.31 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 6 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.1 | 13.3 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 88 | 181 |
What the data says
Lens vs Paris FC: what the data says
Home last five: 1.40 points, 1.54 xG for, 1.45 against per game. Away: 2.00 / 1.77 / 1.17.
What is worth noting before kickoff?
What could go against this prediction
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Lens
- injured Abdallah Sima return: Late November 2026
- injured Ismaëlo Ganiou return: Late November 2026
- injured Jhoanner Chávez return: Early November 2026
- injured Jonathan Gradit return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Maik Nawrocki return: Mid May 2027
Paris FC
- injured Jonathan Ikoné return: Early November 2026
- injured Nhoa Sangui return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Lens 6 · 5 5 draws · 3 Paris FC
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Paris FC | 0 - 5 | Lens |
| 2025-10-19 | Lens | 2 - 1 | Paris FC |
| 2022-07-02 | Lens | 0 - 0 | Paris FC |
| 2020-08-05 | Lens | 1 - 2 | Paris FC |
| 2020-03-02 | Paris FC | 0 - 2 | Lens |
Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage