Belgian Pro League Round 9 2026-10-24 · 14:00 UTC finished
Prediction
29% Royal Antwerp (home)
27% Draw
44% Sporting Charleroi (away)
Expected goals 1.25 — 1.47 Over 2.5 goals: 51% Both teams to score: 55%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Royal Antwerp Sporting Charleroi
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) ——
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) ——
Sample size (matches with xG data) 00
Rest days since last match 1313
Matches in the last 7 days 11
Matches in the next 7 days 11
Travel to this match (km) 35102

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 42.7%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Royal Antwerp

  • suspended Mauricio Benítez return: Early November 2026

Sporting Charleroi

  • injured Antoine Bernier return: Day to day

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Royal Antwerp 9 · 4 4 draws · 12 Sporting Charleroi

DateHome ScoreAway
2026-05-10Royal Antwerp 0 - 1Sporting Charleroi
2026-04-10Sporting Charleroi 2 - 1Royal Antwerp
2026-01-25Royal Antwerp 0 - 2Sporting Charleroi
2025-08-17Sporting Charleroi 1 - 1Royal Antwerp
2025-05-29Royal Antwerp 1 - 2Sporting Charleroi
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: unavailable Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available