Eredivisie Round 10 2026-10-24 · 16:45 UTC finished
Willem II (home)
VS Koning Willem II Stadion, Tilburg
Cambuur (away)
Prediction
34% Willem II (home)
30% Draw
36% Cambuur (away)
Expected goals 1.49 — 1.47 Over 2.5 goals: 57% Both teams to score: 60%

Model: history/v2-w1460-r150. Probabilities are produced by our own model from public match data. They are not odds and not betting advice.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Willem II Cambuur
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.171.45
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 3.381.5
Sample size (matches with xG data) 11
Rest days since last match 76
Matches in the last 7 days 22
Matches in the next 7 days 21
Travel to this match (km) 60190

What could go against this prediction

The model's top probability for this match is below 50% (backtest hit rate for this band is 39.0%%).
no season pressing baseline available for these teams

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Willem II

  • injured Amine Lachkar return: Day to day
  • injured Justin Hoogma return: Late October 2027
  • injured Wouter van der Steen return: Mid November 2026

Cambuur

  • injured Daan Visser return: Day to day
  • injured Jamal Amofa return: Early July 2027
  • injured Wout Asselman return: Day to day
  • suspended Devid Eugene Bouah return: Late October 2026

Head to head

All-time (per our source): Willem II 3 · 6 6 draws · 3 Cambuur

DateHome ScoreAway
2025-12-12Willem II 0 - 1Cambuur
2025-09-06Cambuur 2 - 2Willem II
2024-02-02Willem II 1 - 1Cambuur
2023-09-17Cambuur 1 - 0Willem II
2022-05-11Cambuur 1 - 1Willem II
Ask AI about this match

Answers are generated from the model probabilities and the published evidence on this page only — the AI cannot see anything else and cannot change the probabilities.

How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: available Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: available Pressing baseline: unavailable Season context: available