No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Ajax | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | — | — |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | — | — |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 0 | 0 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 53 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
recent form lacks xG samples, so attack/defence form is not measurable
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Ajax 18 · 6 6 draws · 2 Excelsior
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-01 | Excelsior | 2:2 | Ajax |
| 2025-11-22 | Ajax | 1:2 | Excelsior |
| 2024-04-24 | Ajax | 2:2 | Excelsior |
| 2023-08-19 | Excelsior | 2:2 | Ajax |
| 2023-01-29 | Excelsior | 1:4 | Ajax |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
unavailable
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available