No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Atalanta | Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.9 | 2.44 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.96 | 1.42 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 8 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 18.3 | 9.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 4 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 175 | 475 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Atalanta
- injured Franck Kessié return: Mid November 2026
- injured Giacomo Raspadori return: Mid November 2026
- injured Gianluca Gaetano return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Gianluca Scamacca return: Mid November 2026
- injured Isak Hien return: Back in training
- injured Odilon Kossounou return: Mid November 2026
- injured Raoul Bellanova return: Mid November 2026
- injured Sead Kolasinac return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Thomas Kristensen return: Mid November 2026
- injured Thomas Pompei return: Mid November 2026
Roma
- injured Lorenzo Pellegrini return: Late November 2026
- injured Manu Koné return: Mid November 2026
- injured Mile Svilar return: Mid November 2026
- injured Paulo Dybala return: Back in training
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Atalanta 20 · 11 11 draws · 24 Roma
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Roma | 2:1 | Atalanta |
| 2026-04-18 | Roma | 1:1 | Atalanta |
| 2026-01-03 | Atalanta | 1:0 | Roma |
| 2025-05-12 | Atalanta | 2:1 | Roma |
| 2024-12-02 | Roma | 0:2 | Atalanta |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available