No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Athletic Club | Deportivo Alaves |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.48 | 1.39 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.62 | 1.32 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.7 | 14.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 52 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Athletic Club
- injured Daniel Vivian return: Back in training
- injured Peio Canales return: Late September 2026
- injured Unai Egiluz return: Mid January 2027
Deportivo Alaves
- injured Aitor Mañas return: Late September 2026
- injured Facundo Garcés return: out for season
- injured Mikel Rodríguez return: out for season
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Athletic Club 11 · 8 8 draws · 6 Deportivo Alaves
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Deportivo Alavés | 2 - 4 | Athletic Club |
| 2025-09-13 | Athletic Club | 0 - 1 | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2025-07-22 | Deportivo Alavés | 1 - 0 | Athletic Club |
| 2025-05-11 | Athletic Club | 1 - 0 | Deportivo Alavés |
| 2024-12-15 | Deportivo Alavés | 1 - 1 | Athletic Club |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available