No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Atletico Madrid | Osasuna |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.14 | 1.53 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.27 | 0.95 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 10.3 | 12.2 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 346 | 309 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Atletico Madrid 20 · 1 1 draws · 3 Osasuna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Osasuna | 1 - 2 | Atlético Madrid |
| 2025-10-18 | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 2025-05-15 | Osasuna | 2 - 0 | Atlético Madrid |
| 2025-01-12 | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 0 | Osasuna |
| 2024-05-19 | Atlético Madrid | 1 - 4 | Osasuna |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available