No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Bayern Munich | Bayer Leverkusen |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 3.64 | 1.82 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.33 | 2.08 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 3 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.0 | 11.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 500 | 609 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Bayern Munich
- injured Bara Ndiaye return: Mid November 2026
- injured Ismael Saibari return: Mid December 2026
- injured Jamal Musiala return: a few weeks
- injured Luis Díaz return: Late November 2026
- injured Manuel Neuer return: doubtful
- injured Michael Olise return: doubtful
- injured Serge Gnabry return: Late November 2026
Bayer Leverkusen
- injured Christian Kofane return: a few weeks
- injured Eliesse Ben Seghir return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Guéla Doué return: a few weeks
- injured Kennet Eichhorn return: Late November 2026
- injured Loic Badé return: About a week
- injured Martin Terrier return: Early December 2026
- injured Moussa Diaby return: Mid November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Bayern Munich 40 · 14 14 draws · 14 Bayer Leverkusen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Leverkusen | 1:1 | Bayern Munich |
| 2025-11-01 | Bayern Munich | 3:0 | Leverkusen |
| 2025-03-11 | Bayer Leverkusen | 0:2 | Bayern München |
| 2025-03-05 | Bayern München | 3:0 | Bayer Leverkusen |
| 2025-02-15 | Leverkusen | 0:0 | Bayern Munich |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available