No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Bayern Munich | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.94 | 1.39 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 0.65 | 2.37 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 9.0 | 18.2 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 352 | 491 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Bayern Munich
No reported absentees.
Union Berlin
- injured Andrej Ilić return: Early October 2026
- injured Andrik Markgraf return: Early March 2027
- injured Josip Juranović return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Kastriot Imeri return: doubtful
- injured Marvin Friedrich return: Early October 2026
- injured Oliver Burke return: Late September 2026
- injured Stanley N'Soki return: Early October 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Bayern Munich 10 · 5 5 draws · 0 Union Berlin
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | Bayern München | 4 - 0 | Union Berlin |
| 2025-12-03 | Union Berlin | 2 - 3 | Bayern München |
| 2025-11-08 | Union Berlin | 2 - 2 | Bayern München |
| 2025-03-15 | Union Berlin | 1 - 1 | Bayern München |
| 2024-11-02 | Bayern München | 3 - 0 | Union Berlin |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available