No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Benfica | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.42 | 1.46 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.2 | 1.12 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 2 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 1876 |
What could go against this prediction
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Benfica
- injured Daniel Banjaqui return: day to day
- injured Enzo Barrenechea return: Early November 2026
- injured Jakub Kamiński return: day to day
- injured Leandro Barreiro return: Early July 2027
AZ Alkmaar
- injured Jeroen Zoet return: Mid November 2026
- injured Jizz Hornkamp return: day to day
- injured Kees Smit return: day to day
- injured Stije Resink return: Early January 2027
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Benfica 2 · 0 0 draws · 0 AZ Alkmaar
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2014-04-10 | Benfica | 2:0 | AZ Alkmaar |
| 2014-04-03 | AZ Alkmaar | 0:1 | Benfica |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available