UEFA Europa League Round 1 2026-09-17 · 19:00 UTC finished

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Beşiktaş Marseille
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) —1.5
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) —1.77
Sample size (matches with xG data) 04
Rest days since last match —6
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) — 11.4
Matches in the last 7 days 02
Matches in the next 7 days 01

What could go against this prediction

no head-to-head data available

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Beşiktaş

No reported absentees.

Marseille

  • injured Geoffrey Kondogbia return: About 1-2 weeks
  • injured Tochukwu Nnadi return: Late September 2026
How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: unavailable Pressing baseline: available Season context: available