No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Borussia Dortmund | Paderborn |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.77 | 0.75 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.33 | 1.23 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 2 | 2 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 11.2 | 14.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 0 | 91 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Borussia Dortmund 5 · 3 3 draws · 0 Paderborn
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-02-02 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 2 | Paderborn |
| 2020-08-28 | Borussia Dortmund | 1 - 1 | Paderborn |
| 2020-05-31 | Paderborn | 1 - 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2019-11-22 | Borussia Dortmund | 3 - 3 | Paderborn |
| 2017-01-17 | Paderborn | 1 - 6 | Borussia Dortmund |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available