No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Borussia M.Gladbach | Mainz 05 |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.21 | 2.04 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.96 | 0.99 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 12.7 | 12.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 366 | 185 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Borussia M.Gladbach
- injured Daiki Hashioka return: Late September 2026
- injured Enzo Leopold return: Late May 2027
- injured Jens Castrop return: Late September 2026
- injured Nicolas-Gerrit Kühn return: Early October 2026
- injured Yukhym Konoplya return: Late September 2026
- injured Zento Uno return: About 1-2 weeks
- suspended Tim Kleindienst return: Mid September 2026
Mainz 05
- injured Dominik Kohr return: Late October 2026
- injured Eric Martel return: Late September 2026
- injured Paul Nebel return: a few weeks
- injured Silas Katompa Mvumpa return: Late September 2026
- injured Silvan Widmer return: Late September 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Borussia M.Gladbach 14 · 12 12 draws · 9 Mainz 05
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 1 | Mainz 05 |
| 2025-12-05 | Mainz 05 | 0 - 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2025-03-07 | Borussia Mönchengladbach | 1 - 3 | Mainz 05 |
| 2024-10-25 | Mainz 05 | 1 - 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
| 2024-03-02 | Mainz 05 | 1 - 1 | Borussia Mönchengladbach |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available