Premier League Round 5 2026-09-20 · 13:00 UTC finished
Bournemouth (home)
VS Vitality Stadium, Bournemouth
Liverpool (away)

No model probabilities for this match yet.

Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.

Why — recent form

"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.

Metric Bournemouth Liverpool
Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) 1.481.68
Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) 1.321.33
Sample size (matches with xG data) 44
Rest days since last match 38
Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) 10.4 8.8
Matches in the last 7 days 22
Matches in the next 7 days 00
Travel to this match (km) 827309

What could go against this prediction

no head-to-head data available

Injuries & suspensions

Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.

Bournemouth

  • injured Amine Adli return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Julián Araujo return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Junior Kroupi return: Late October 2026
  • injured Veljko Milosavljević return: Late September 2026

Liverpool

  • injured Conor Bradley return: Early January 2027
  • injured Federico Chiesa return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Giovanni Leoni return: Mid October 2026
  • injured Hugo Ekitiké return: Early January 2027
How predictions are made

Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.

Data coverage

Model probabilities: unavailable Recent xG form: available Injuries & suspensions: available Head to head: unavailable Pressing baseline: available Season context: available