No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Brentford | Chelsea |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.81 | 1.62 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.37 | 1.54 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 6 | 6 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 8.9 | 13.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 137 | 7 |
What could go against this prediction
no head-to-head data available
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Brentford
- injured Antoni Milambo return: Mid October 2026
- injured Joshua Dasilva return: Mid October 2026
- injured Mathias Jensen return: Mid October 2026
- injured Nathan Collins return: Mid October 2026
- injured Sepp van den Berg return: Mid October 2026
Chelsea
- injured Dastan Satpaev return: Late September 2026
- injured Emmanuel Emegha return: doubtful
- injured João Pedro return: Mid October 2026
- injured Jordan Henderson return: doubtful
- injured Marco Palestra return: doubtful
- injured Moisés Caicedo return: doubtful
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
unavailable
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available