No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Brighton | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.71 | 1.03 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.13 | 2.05 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 7.2 | 12.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 83 | 326 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Brighton
- injured Evan Ferguson return: Early November 2026
- injured Femi Azeez return: Early November 2026
- injured Ferdi Kadioglu return: Back in training
- injured Kaoru Mitoma return: Late November 2026
- injured Pascal Struijk return: Early November 2026
- injured Stefanos Tzimas return: Early November 2026
- injured Zadok Yohanna return: Early November 2026
Manchester United
- injured Amad Diallo return: doubtful
- injured Benjamin Sesko return: Early January 2027
- injured Luke Shaw return: Early November 2026
- injured Manuel Ugarte return: Early April 2027
- injured Marcus Rashford return: doubtful
- injured Patrick Dorgu return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Brighton 8 · 0 0 draws · 10 Manchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Brighton | 0:3 | Man United |
| 2025-10-25 | Man United | 4:2 | Brighton |
| 2025-01-19 | Man United | 1:3 | Brighton |
| 2024-08-24 | Brighton | 2:1 | Man United |
| 2024-05-19 | Brighton | 0:2 | Man United |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available