No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Cagliari | Parma |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.36 | 0.86 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.94 | 1.52 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 20.5 | 16.4 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 669 | 580 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Cagliari
- injured Alessandro Deiola return: doubtful
- injured Alieu Fadera return: Late November 2026
- injured Mattia Felici return: out for season
- injured Riyad Idrissi return: Late November 2026
Parma
- injured Adrián Bernabé return: About 1-2 weeks
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Cagliari 17 · 11 11 draws · 15 Parma
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Parma | 0:1 | Cagliari |
| 2026-02-27 | Parma | 1:1 | Cagliari |
| 2025-09-13 | Cagliari | 2:0 | Parma |
| 2025-02-09 | Cagliari | 2:1 | Parma |
| 2024-09-30 | Parma | 2:3 | Cagliari |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available