No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Chelsea | Newcastle United |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.38 | 1.07 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.29 | 1.59 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.7 | 9.6 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 112 | 400 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Chelsea
- injured Aaron Anselmino return: Mid November 2026
- injured Emiliano Martínez return: Early November 2026
- injured Jamie Gittens return: Back in training
- injured João Pedro return: Early November 2026
- injured Jorrel Hato return: Mid November 2026
- injured Maxence Lacroix return: Early January 2027
- injured Reece James return: Mid January 2027
Newcastle United
- injured Ewen Jaouen return: Early December 2026
- injured Lewis Miley return: doubtful
- injured Matias Fernandez-Pardo return: doubtful
- injured Valentino Livramento return: Late November 2026
- injured William Osula return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Chelsea 31 · 14 14 draws · 17 Newcastle United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-14 | Chelsea | 0:1 | Newcastle |
| 2025-12-20 | Newcastle | 2:2 | Chelsea |
| 2025-05-11 | Newcastle | 2:0 | Chelsea |
| 2024-10-27 | Chelsea | 2:1 | Newcastle |
| 2024-03-11 | Chelsea | 3:2 | Newcastle |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available