No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Chelsea | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.38 | 1.94 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.29 | 1.06 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.7 | 12.5 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 272 | 174 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Chelsea
- injured Aaron Anselmino return: Mid November 2026
- injured Emiliano Martínez return: Early November 2026
- injured Jamie Gittens return: Back in training
- injured João Pedro return: Early November 2026
- injured Jorrel Hato return: Mid November 2026
- injured Maxence Lacroix return: Early January 2027
- injured Reece James return: Mid January 2027
Nottingham Forest
- injured Igor Jesus return: Early November 2026
- injured Nicolás Dominguez return: About a week
- injured Nicolò Savona return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Chelsea 7 · 5 5 draws · 4 Nottingham Forest
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-04 | Chelsea | 1:3 | Nott'm Forest |
| 2025-10-18 | Nott'm Forest | 0:3 | Chelsea |
| 2025-05-25 | Nott'm Forest | 0:1 | Chelsea |
| 2024-10-06 | Chelsea | 1:1 | Nott'm Forest |
| 2024-05-11 | Nott'm Forest | 2:3 | Chelsea |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available