No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Everton | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 0.98 | 1.77 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.23 | 1.31 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 4 | 3 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.8 | 17.0 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 3 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 102 | 309 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Everton
- injured Jarrad Branthwaite return: doubtful
Aston Villa
- injured Aaron Wan-Bissaka return: Mid November 2026
- injured Amadou Onana return: Mid April 2027
- injured Matteo Ruggeri return: Mid December 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Everton 13 · 21 21 draws · 26 Aston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-18 | Aston Villa | 0:1 | Everton |
| 2025-09-13 | Everton | 0:0 | Aston Villa |
| 2025-01-15 | Everton | 0:1 | Aston Villa |
| 2024-09-14 | Aston Villa | 3:2 | Everton |
| 2024-01-14 | Everton | 0:0 | Aston Villa |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available