No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Everton | Ipswich |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.27 | 1.57 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.38 | 1.68 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 4 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.8 | 12.5 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 284 | 300 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Everton
- injured Christian Nørgaard return: Mid October 2026
- injured Merlin Röhl return: doubtful
Ipswich
- injured Azor Matusiwa return: doubtful
- injured Emersonn return: doubtful
- injured Jack Taylor return: Late September 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Everton 1 · 1 1 draws · 0 Ipswich
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-03 | Everton | 2 - 2 | Ipswich Town |
| 2024-10-19 | Ipswich Town | 0 - 2 | Everton |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available