No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Everton | Manchester United |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.48 | 3.3 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.06 | 1.54 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 2 | 2 |
| Rest days since last match | 8 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.8 | 12.7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 309 | 47 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Everton 7 · 11 11 draws · 20 Manchester United
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-23 | Everton | 0 - 1 | Manchester United |
| 2025-11-24 | Manchester United | 0 - 1 | Everton |
| 2025-08-03 | Manchester United | 2 - 2 | Everton |
| 2025-02-22 | Everton | 2 - 2 | Manchester United |
| 2024-12-01 | Manchester United | 4 - 0 | Everton |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available