No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | FC Cologne | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 2.37 | 0.74 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.67 | 1.94 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 2 | 2 |
| Rest days since last match | 8 | 7 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 14.1 | 17.1 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 292 | 273 |
What could go against this prediction
no injury / suspension snapshot available for either squad
Head to head
All-time (per our source): FC Cologne 7 · 10 10 draws · 8 Werder Bremen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | 1. FC Köln | 3 - 1 | Werder Bremen |
| 2025-11-29 | Werder Bremen | 1 - 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2024-02-16 | 1. FC Köln | 0 - 1 | Werder Bremen |
| 2023-09-23 | Werder Bremen | 2 - 1 | 1. FC Köln |
| 2023-05-20 | Werder Bremen | 1 - 1 | 1. FC Köln |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
unavailable
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available