No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | FC Groningen | NEC Nijmegen |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.92 | 1.87 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 2.4 | 1.47 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 4 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 3 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 3 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 204 | 162 |
What could go against this prediction
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
FC Groningen
- injured Elvis van der Laan return: day to day
- injured Malcolm Jeng return: day to day
- injured Ryan Metu return: Late November 2026
- injured Travis Hernes return: Late November 2026
NEC Nijmegen
- injured Bram Nuytinck return: Late November 2026
- injured Dušan Tadić return: Mid November 2026
- injured Emre Mor return: day to day
- injured Philippe Sandler return: Early November 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): FC Groningen 17 · 16 16 draws · 15 NEC Nijmegen
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Groningen | 2:1 | Nijmegen |
| 2025-11-09 | Nijmegen | 2:0 | Groningen |
| 2025-02-08 | Groningen | 2:1 | Nijmegen |
| 2024-11-03 | Nijmegen | 6:0 | Groningen |
| 2023-04-25 | Groningen | 0:1 | Nijmegen |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available