No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | FC Utrecht | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.38 | 0.35 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.56 | 3.07 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 3 | 3 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 7 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 0 | 0 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 65 | 46 |
What could go against this prediction
no season pressing baseline available for these teams
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
FC Utrecht
- injured Alonzo Engwanda return: day to day
- injured Kevin Paredes return: day to day
- injured Miliano Jonathans return: day to day
- injured Noah Ohio return: Early January 2027
- injured Victor Jensen return: day to day
Excelsior
No reported absentees.
Head to head
All-time (per our source): FC Utrecht 15 · 9 9 draws · 3 Excelsior
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Excelsior | 1:2 | Utrecht |
| 2026-04-26 | Excelsior | 5:0 | Utrecht |
| 2025-08-24 | Utrecht | 4:1 | Excelsior |
| 2024-01-27 | Excelsior | 1:1 | Utrecht |
| 2023-11-12 | Utrecht | 2:2 | Excelsior |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
unavailable
Season context:
available