No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Fiorentina | Lecce |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.19 | 1.7 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.75 | 1.66 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 5 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 13.6 | 11.8 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 2 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 1 | 1 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 255 | 686 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Fiorentina
- injured Arthur Atta return: doubtful
- injured Fabiano Parisi return: Early December 2026
- injured Luca Ranieri return: doubtful
- injured Marin Pongracic return: Mid November 2026
Lecce
- injured Ivan Ilic return: Late November 2026
- injured Joël Monteiro return: About 1-2 weeks
- injured Lassana Coulibaly return: Mid November 2026
- injured Medon Berisha return: doubtful
- injured Santiago Pierotti return: Mid November 2026
- injured Willem Geubbels return: doubtful
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Fiorentina 11 · 9 9 draws · 8 Lecce
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-20 | Lecce | 1:1 | Fiorentina |
| 2025-11-02 | Fiorentina | 0:1 | Lecce |
| 2025-02-28 | Fiorentina | 1:0 | Lecce |
| 2024-10-20 | Lecce | 0:6 | Fiorentina |
| 2024-02-02 | Lecce | 3:2 | Fiorentina |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available