No model probabilities for this match yet.
Predictions are generated as match data becomes available — check another date or come back later.
Why — recent form
"—" means the number is not available in our data; we never fill gaps with zeros. Recent form covers only matches with expected-goals data, which may be fewer than the team's actual recent fixtures.
| Metric | Fulham | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| Recent xG (attack, per-match avg) | 1.51 | 1.77 |
| Recent xGA (defence, per-match avg) | 1.03 | 1.31 |
| Sample size (matches with xG data) | 5 | 5 |
| Rest days since last match | 7 | 4 |
| Season pressing (PPDA, lower = more intense) | 11.6 | 17.0 |
| Matches in the last 7 days | 1 | 2 |
| Matches in the next 7 days | 2 | 3 |
| Travel to this match (km) | 400 | 162 |
Injuries & suspensions
Latest pre-match snapshot from our data source; availability varies by league.
Fulham
No reported absentees.
Aston Villa
- injured Aaron Wan-Bissaka return: Mid November 2026
- injured Amadou Onana return: Mid April 2027
- injured Matteo Ruggeri return: Mid December 2026
Head to head
All-time (per our source): Fulham 8 · 11 11 draws · 17 Aston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-25 | Fulham | 1:0 | Aston Villa |
| 2025-09-28 | Aston Villa | 3:1 | Fulham |
| 2025-05-03 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | Fulham |
| 2024-10-19 | Fulham | 1:3 | Aston Villa |
| 2024-02-17 | Fulham | 1:2 | Aston Villa |
How predictions are made
Probabilities are generated by our own statistical model from public match data. AI is used only to explain the evidence and analysis.
Data coverage
Model probabilities:
unavailable
Recent xG form:
available
Injuries & suspensions:
available
Head to head:
available
Pressing baseline:
available
Season context:
available